The sanctions against Russia provide the People's Republic with valuable insight for a possible invasion of Taiwan. These provide China with a specific timeframe to determine when it considers itself economically capable of a military incursion into the neighboring country. Dual circulation could already be part of the preparations. However, an actual invasion also depends on whether Beijing believes the US is determined to interfere militarily.
By Marcel Grzanna
Hardly anyone thought it possible that Putin would follow through with this war of aggression. But also hardly anyone expected this global wave of solidarity against the war. Which of these two movements will prevail? The new solidarity among the global community could send a powerful signal to Beijing – and its greedy eyes on Taiwan.
By Frank Sieren
Will China abide by Western sanctions against Russia in the Ukraine crisis? Looking at Iran as an example shows how Beijing and Moscow could undermine the punitive measures. But Beijing has so far shown little inclination to undermine the sanctions on a grand scale.
By Michael Radunski